Tez Açık Erişim
Türkiye İçin Optimum Açik Deniz Üzeri Kombine Rüzgar Ve Mavi Enerji Santrali Geliştirilmesi
Demir, Abdullah Kürşat
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"description": "<p>Türkiye üç yan\u0131 denizlerle çevrili Mavi Vatan doktrini ile 462 000 km2 deniz alan\u0131na sahip bir ülkedir. Bu kapsamda Türkiye’nin deniz saha planlamas\u0131n\u0131 gerçekle\u015ftirerek söz konusu bu alandan en verimli \u015fekilde faydalanmas\u0131 gerekmektedir. Çal\u0131\u015fma dahilinde, Deniz Saha Planlamas\u0131na (DSP) yönelik öncü bir ÇKKV (Çok Kriterli Karar Verme) modeli geli\u015ftirilmi\u015ftir. Model kapsam\u0131nda DSP kullan\u0131m\u0131, çevresel etki ve ekolojik – biyolojik çe\u015fitlilik alt\u0131nda üç ana kriter belirlenerek hem sürdürülebilirlik hem de fayda sa\u011flama ilkeleri göz önünde bulundurulmu\u015ftur. Alt kriterler belirlenen da\u011f\u0131l\u0131mlarla Monte Carlo Simülasyonu (MCS) ile modellenerek bir Stratejik Planlama Modeli (SPM) ortaya konmu\u015ftur. Mavi enerji, gelgit, dalga ve aç\u0131k deniz rüzgar\u0131 gibi deniz ve hidrokinetik bazl\u0131 enerji kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131 ifade eder ve Türkiye’nin do\u011fal gaz ve petrol gibi d\u0131\u015fa ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 birincil enerji kaynaklar\u0131na olan ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 azaltarak, ulusal enerji kar\u0131\u015f\u0131m\u0131ndaki yerli enerji kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n çe\u015fitlili\u011fini art\u0131rmak için önemli bir f\u0131rsat sunar. Türkiye’nin aç\u0131k deniz mavi enerji kapasitesinin ara\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, enerji politikas\u0131 hedefleriyle uyum sa\u011flamak aç\u0131s\u0131ndan kritik bir öneme sahiptir. Özellikle Yenilenebilir Enerji Kaynak Alan\u0131 Kapsam\u0131nda (YEKA) aday bölgelerden biri olan Karadeniz’deki K\u0131y\u0131köy k\u0131y\u0131lar\u0131, aç\u0131k deniz mavi enerji geli\u015ftirme için elveri\u015fli alanlar aras\u0131nda yer almakta olup, ülkenin aç\u0131k deniz mavi enerji potansiyelinin yakla\u015f\u0131k 1700 MW oldu\u011fu tahmin edilmektedir. Rüzgar, dalga ve hidrokinetik türbinlerinin birle\u015ftirildi\u011fi hibrit tasar\u0131m modeli, DSP arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla yeni projeler için altyap\u0131 sa\u011flayarak sürdürülebilir bir mavi ekonomi olu\u015fturulmas\u0131na katk\u0131 sunmay\u0131 amaçlam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Aç\u0131k Deniz Üzeri Kombine Rüzgar ve Mavi Enerji Santrali için tezde geli\u015ftirilen hibrit tasar\u0131m modelinin temel deformasyon analizinde basitle\u015ftirilmi\u015f üçlü yay yöntemine MCS analizi uygulanarak literatürde API (2014) ve DNV (2014) taraf\u0131ndan önerilen p – y yöntemleriyle Bryne ve di\u011f. (2015) taraf\u0131ndan önerilen 3 boyutlu sonlu elemanlar modelini kapsay\u0131c\u0131 bir çözüm yolu ortaya konmu\u015ftur. Kombine hibrid sistemin en önemli tasar\u0131m kriterlerinden biri olan yap\u0131n\u0131n do\u011fal frekans analizinde ise hibrit sistem literatürde verilenin aksine birinci dereceden serbestli\u011fe de\u011fil ikinci dereceden serbestli\u011fe göre çözülmü\u015ftür. Öncelikle, geli\u015ftirilen bu yeni çözüm literatürle k\u0131yaslanm\u0131\u015f ve mutlak ba\u011f\u0131l fark %1,84 bulunarak çözüm metodolojisi gerçekleni\u015ftir. Bunun yan\u0131nda, yeni hibrit yap\u0131n\u0131n do\u011fal frekans de\u011feri birinci dereceden serbestli\u011fe ve ikinci dereceden serbestli\u011fe göre ayr\u0131 ayr\u0131 çözülerek, aradaki mutlak ba\u011f\u0131l fark\u0131n %48,64 gibi yads\u0131namaz bir fark oldu\u011fu görülmü\u015ftür. Çal\u0131\u015fman\u0131n son k\u0131sm\u0131nda ise fizibilite çal\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 yap\u0131larak elektrik maliyetinin düzeylendirilmi\u015f de\u011feri (LCOE) 52,90 Eur/MWh olarak elde edilmi\u015ftir. Sonuç olarak bu tezde, sistemin sürdürülebilirli\u011fi, fizibilitesi ve operasyonel ömrü aç\u0131s\u0131ndan Karadeniz ko\u015fullar\u0131nda özgün bir mavi enerji tasar\u0131m modeli geli\u015ftirilmi\u015ftir. Hibrit sistemlerin tek dereceli çözümlerinin hatal\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131, iki dereceli serbestli\u011fe göre çözümlerin yap\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fi literatürde ilk defa ortaya konmu\u015ftur. Toplamda kombine sistemin üretece\u011fi elektrik miktar\u0131 1,68 MW saat olarak bulunmu\u015ftur. Dalga enerji üreteci için B/C fizibilite de\u011feri 2,17 deniz üzeri rüzgar türbini için ise 1,39 bulunmu\u015ftur. Bu sistemlerin kombine kullan\u0131lmas\u0131 ile de bu de\u011fer B/C=1,40 olarak hesaplanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Görüldü\u011fü üzere tezde Türkiye’ye özgü geli\u015ftirilen yerli ve milli kombine mavi enerji santrali ayn\u0131 zamanda verimli ve ekonomik aç\u0131dan yap\u0131labilirdir. Bu yap\u0131lar\u0131n tasar\u0131m\u0131 için de çift dereceli serbestli\u011fe dayal\u0131 yeni bir tasar\u0131m modeli geli\u015ftirilmi\u015ftir.</p>",
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"keywords": [
"Deniz Saha Planlamas\u0131",
"Mavi Enerji",
"Kombine A\u00e7\u0131k Deniz \u00dczeri R\u00fczgar Enerji Santrali (ADRES)",
"Yenilenebilir Enerji Kaynak Alan\u0131",
"\u00c7ok Kriterli Karar Verme"
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"language": "tur",
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"publication_date": "2025-01-27",
"references": [
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"Demir, A.K, Balas, C.E., and Balas L. (2024). Enhancing T\u00fcrkiye's renewable energy capacity: An advanced hybrid model for combined offshore wind and wave turbines design utilizing Hydrodynamic and Monte Carlo Simulations. Journal of Coastal Research, Special Issue No. 113, pp. 793-798. Charlotte (North Carolina), https://doi.org/10.2112/JCR-SI113-156.1",
"BALAS, C. E., & Koc, L., (2002). Risk assessment of vertical breakwaters - A case study in Turkey. CHINA OCEAN ENGINEERING , vol.16, no.1, 123-134.",
"Kor\u00e7ak, C.E. Balas, Reducing the probability for the collision of ships by changing the passage schedule in Istanbul Strait, International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, Volume 48, 2020, 101593, ISSN 2212- 4209, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101593.",
"Ergin, A., Balas, C.E. Damage risk assessment of breakwaters under tsunami attack. Nat Hazards 39, 231\u2013243 (2006). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-006-0025-7",
"Williams, A. T., Davies, P., Ergin, A., & Balas, C. E. (1998). Coastal Recession and the Reliability of Planned Responses: Colhuw Beach, the Glamorgan Heritage Coast, Wales, UK. Journal of Coastal Research, 72\u201379. http://www.jstor.org/stable/25736122",
"Balas, L.; \u00d6zhan, E. (2003) A baroclinic three-dimensional numerical model applied to coastal Lagoons, International Conference on Computational Science (ICCS 2003), LECTURE NOTES IN COMPUTER SCIENCE, Volume 2658, Page 205-212, ISBN: 3-540-40195-4.",
"Balas, L., Inan, A.; Genc, A.N. (2013). Modelling of Dilution of Thermal Discharges in Enclosed Coastal Waters, RESEARCH JOURNAL OF CHEMISTRY AND ENVIRONMENT, Volume 17, Issue 10, Page 82- 89, ISSN 0972-0626.",
"Genc, A.N., \u0130nan, A., Y\u0131lmaz N., Balas, L. (2013). Modeling of Erosion at G\u00f6ksu Coasts, Journal of Coastal Research, 65(sp2), 2155-2160, https://doi.org/10.2112/SI65-364.1",
"Inan, A and Balas, L(2010) Numerical Modelling of Oil Spill, 5th IASME/WSEAS International Conference on Water Resources, Hydraulics and Hydrology/4th IASME/WSEAS International Conference on Geology and Seismology, pp.62-73, ISBN 978-960-474-160-1.",
"Cebe, K., Balas, L., and Y\u0131ld\u0131r\u0131m Fidano\u011flu, P. (2024). Assessment and mitigation of land-based pollutants and climate change impacts on coastal water Quality. Journal of Coastal Research, Special Issue No. 113, pp. 402-406. Charlotte (North Carolina), https://doi.org/10.2112/JCR-SI113-079",
"Eser, E., Balas, L., \u0130nan, A., & Y\u0131ld\u0131r\u0131m, Fidano\u011flu P. (2024). Integrated modeling for the determination of typology and boundaries of coastal and transitional. Journal of Coastal Research, Special Issue No. 113, 604-608. Charlotte (North Carolina), https://doi.org/10.2112/JCR-SI113-119.1",
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"Y\u0131ld\u0131r\u0131m, Fidano\u011flu P., Cebe, K., and Balas, L. (2024). Exploring coastal ecosystem biodiversity in a Mediterranean hotspot: Marmaris Bay, T\u00fcrkiye. Journal of Coastal Research, Special Issue Journal of Coastal Research, Special Issue No. 113, pp. 869-900. Charlotte (North Carolina), https://doi.org/10.2112/JCR-SI113-176",
"Balas, E.A., U\u011furlu, A., and Balas, C.E. (2024). A hybrid probabilistic design model of riverine jetties incorporating three-dimensional numerical simulations of transport phenomena in the context of emerging climate change. Journal of Coastal Research, Special Issue No. 113, pp. 220-224. Charlotte (North Carolina), https://doi.org/10.2112/JCR-SI113-044.1",
"Balas, E.A., Gen\u00e7, A.N, and Balas, C.E. (2024). Strategic adaptation to climate change through Monte Carlo-based multi-criteria decision model in marine spatial planning. Journal of Coastal Research, Special Issue No. 113, pp. 169-174. Charlotte (North Carolina), https://doi.org/10.2112/JCR-SI113-034.1",
"U\u011furlu, A. and Balas, C.E. (2024). Assessment of single-layer armor units in breakwater design under climate change: In-depth case analysis of Rize-Artvin airport breakwater. Journal of Coastal Research, Special Issue No. 113, pp. 660-664. Charlotte (North Carolina), https://doi.org/10.2112/JCR-SI113-130.1"
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