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A Behavioural Test of Depression-Related Probability Bias

Booth, Robert W.; Gönül, Selen; Sözügür, B. Deniz; Khalid, Khadija


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{
  "@context": "https://schema.org/", 
  "@id": 285907, 
  "@type": "ScholarlyArticle", 
  "creator": [
    {
      "@id": "https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7614-4519", 
      "@type": "Person", 
      "affiliation": "Sabanci \u00dcniversitesi", 
      "name": "Booth, Robert W."
    }, 
    {
      "@type": "Person", 
      "affiliation": "Sabanci \u00dcniversitesi", 
      "name": "G\u00f6n\u00fcl, Selen"
    }, 
    {
      "@type": "Person", 
      "affiliation": "Sabanci \u00dcniversitesi", 
      "name": "S\u00f6z\u00fcg\u00fcr, B. Deniz"
    }, 
    {
      "@type": "Person", 
      "name": "Khalid, Khadija"
    }
  ], 
  "datePublished": "2024-11-12", 
  "description": "<p>Individuals high in depressive symptom severity show probability bias: they believe negative&nbsp;events are relatively probable, and positive events relatively improbable, compared to those&nbsp;with less severe symptoms. However, this has only ever been demonstrated using self-report&nbsp;measures, in which participants explicitly estimate events&rsquo; probabilities: this leaves open the&nbsp;risk that &lsquo;probability bias&rsquo; is merely an artefact of response bias. We tested the veracity of&nbsp;probability bias using an indirect behavioural measure, based on a sentence-reading task.&nbsp;Study 1 tested 112 Turkish students; Study 2 tested 117 international users of online groups&nbsp;for people with depressive and anxiety disorders. As predicted, participants with higher&nbsp;depressive symptom scores responded relatively quickly to sentences stating negative events&nbsp;might occur, and relatively slowly to sentences stating positive events might occur, compared&nbsp;to those with lower scores. This effect was only marginal in Study 1, but reached significance&nbsp;in Study 2. However, contrary to predictions, this effect was not moderated by the probability&nbsp;level stated in the sentence. This makes our findings difficult to interpret, and we must&nbsp;present these studies as a failure to convincingly demonstrate depression-related probability&nbsp;bias. We hope this stimulates more work on the nature and veracity of probability bias.</p>", 
  "headline": "A Behavioural Test of Depression-Related Probability Bias", 
  "identifier": 285907, 
  "image": "https://aperta.ulakbim.gov.tr/static/img/logo/aperta_logo_with_icon.svg", 
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/", 
  "name": "A Behavioural Test of Depression-Related Probability Bias", 
  "url": "https://aperta.ulakbim.gov.tr/record/285907"
}
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