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Total ozone over Ankara and its forecasting using regression models

Aksoy, B.; Incecik, S.; Topcu, S.; Bari, D. Demirhan; Kahya, C.; Acar, Y.; Ozunlu, M.; Ekici, M.


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  <identifier identifierType="URL">https://aperta.ulakbim.gov.tr/record/37221</identifier>
  <creators>
    <creator>
      <creatorName>Aksoy, B.</creatorName>
      <givenName>B.</givenName>
      <familyName>Aksoy</familyName>
      <affiliation>Turkish State Meteorol Serv, Dept Res, Ankara, Turkey</affiliation>
    </creator>
    <creator>
      <creatorName>Incecik, S.</creatorName>
      <givenName>S.</givenName>
      <familyName>Incecik</familyName>
      <affiliation>Istanbul Tech Univ, Dept Meteorol, Fac Aeronaut &amp; Astronaut, TR-34469 Istanbul, Turkey</affiliation>
    </creator>
    <creator>
      <creatorName>Topcu, S.</creatorName>
      <givenName>S.</givenName>
      <familyName>Topcu</familyName>
      <affiliation>Istanbul Tech Univ, Dept Meteorol, Fac Aeronaut &amp; Astronaut, TR-34469 Istanbul, Turkey</affiliation>
    </creator>
    <creator>
      <creatorName>Bari, D. Demirhan</creatorName>
      <givenName>D. Demirhan</givenName>
      <familyName>Bari</familyName>
      <affiliation>Istanbul Tech Univ, Dept Meteorol, Fac Aeronaut &amp; Astronaut, TR-34469 Istanbul, Turkey</affiliation>
    </creator>
    <creator>
      <creatorName>Kahya, C.</creatorName>
      <givenName>C.</givenName>
      <familyName>Kahya</familyName>
      <affiliation>Istanbul Tech Univ, Dept Meteorol, Fac Aeronaut &amp; Astronaut, TR-34469 Istanbul, Turkey</affiliation>
    </creator>
    <creator>
      <creatorName>Acar, Y.</creatorName>
      <givenName>Y.</givenName>
      <familyName>Acar</familyName>
      <affiliation>Turkish State Meteorol Serv, Dept Res, Ankara, Turkey</affiliation>
    </creator>
    <creator>
      <creatorName>Ozunlu, M.</creatorName>
      <givenName>M.</givenName>
      <familyName>Ozunlu</familyName>
      <affiliation>Turkish State Meteorol Serv, Dept Res, Ankara, Turkey</affiliation>
    </creator>
    <creator>
      <creatorName>Ekici, M.</creatorName>
      <givenName>M.</givenName>
      <familyName>Ekici</familyName>
      <affiliation>Turkish State Meteorol Serv, Dept Res, Ankara, Turkey</affiliation>
    </creator>
  </creators>
  <titles>
    <title>Total Ozone Over Ankara And Its Forecasting Using Regression Models</title>
  </titles>
  <publisher>Aperta</publisher>
  <publicationYear>2009</publicationYear>
  <dates>
    <date dateType="Issued">2009-01-01</date>
  </dates>
  <resourceType resourceTypeGeneral="Text">Journal article</resourceType>
  <alternateIdentifiers>
    <alternateIdentifier alternateIdentifierType="url">https://aperta.ulakbim.gov.tr/record/37221</alternateIdentifier>
  </alternateIdentifiers>
  <relatedIdentifiers>
    <relatedIdentifier relatedIdentifierType="DOI" relationType="IsIdenticalTo">10.1080/01431160802562297</relatedIdentifier>
  </relatedIdentifiers>
  <rightsList>
    <rights rightsURI="http://www.opendefinition.org/licenses/cc-by">Creative Commons Attribution</rights>
    <rights rightsURI="info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess">Open Access</rights>
  </rightsList>
  <descriptions>
    <description descriptionType="Abstract">The present study is concerned with the total ozone variation in Ankara, Turkey (39 degrees 57' N;32 degrees 53 E) and developing a total ozone prediction model by Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer (TOMS) and single-site aerological data (1984-2006). The daily averages of the total column ozone over Ankara show a seasonal variation, with larger values in spring/winter and lower in autumn/summer and a large day-to-day variability. In this study, in order to forecast the total column ozone over Ankara, a multi-linear regression equation was performed. Predictors are selected by stepwise regression method. The ozone value on the previous day, temperature at the 100 hPa pressure level, previous day's temperature for the 700 hPa pressure level and temperature difference for 50 hPa and 500 hPa are the most important predictors. The success of monthly prognostic total column ozone models built up for Ankara is tested by using Brewer MK III Spectrophotometer data and satellite (OMI) data with the upper-air data in 2007. The Brewer MKIII has been in operation since November 2006 in Ankara. The ground-based one-year data show good agreement with the satellite OMI data.</description>
  </descriptions>
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